Nexus eNote 1.29.2008

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Nexus eNote

Nexus eNote

Nexus eNote

 

 

Beef

Week Ending

1/25/08

1/18/08

Year Ago

% of Prior Week

% of Prior Year

Slaughter

640,000

651,000

631,000

98.3%

101.4%

Beef (million lbs)

495.9

505.6

487.3

98.1%

101.8%

Choice Value

144.00

147.34

149.37

97.7%

96.4%

Select Value

137.30

139.69

138.27

98.3%

99.3%

Choice/Select Spread

6.70

7.66

11.10

87.5%

60.4%

Dressed Steer Weight

848

844

858

100.5%

98.8%

Dressed Heifer Weight

756

760

761

99.5%

99.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Live Cattle

Week Ending

1/25/08

1/18/08

Year Ago

% of Prior Week

% of Prior Year

Live Steer Weight

1,304

1,306

1,299

99.8%

100.4%

Live Heifer Weight

1,171

1,183

1,188

99.0%

98.6%

5 Area Cattle Price

90.29

90.09

86.33

100.2%

104.6%

Nearby Cattle Futures

91.40

91.00

90.12

100.4%

101.4%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Grain

Week Ending

1/25/08

1/18/08

Year Ago

% of Prior Week

% of Prior Year

Nearby Corn Futures

4.98

4.98

4.07

100.0%

122.4%

Nearby Soybean Futures

12.43

12.64

7.13

98.3%

174.3%

Nexus eNote

Nexus eNote

·    Iowa and Nebraska combined have 500,000 more cattle on feed Jan 1 than the 10-year average from 1996-2005, according to Cattle-Fax.  Kansas and Texas saw an increase of 400,000 and California and Arizona saw an increase of 200,000.  Although the cattle have shifted somewhat northward, the main feeding and packing capacity remains in the south.

·    A new plant in South Dakota is looking to increase the packing capacity in the Midwest.  Northern Beef Packers is building a $50M plant in Aberdeen that will kill 3,000 per day.

·    While one plant is being built – another is closing.  Tyson announced that they will close their Emporia, KS slaughter facility within a few weeks.  This plant accounts for approximately 3% of total cattle slaughter capacity.  The CME Group Daily Livestock Report states that this decision should make Tyson more competitive as it will allow their other plants to be more efficient.  Efficiencies have been a huge problem among packers since early 2007.  It is not abnormal to for packers to be even or below breakevens in the last four months of the year.  However, in 2007 the packers didn’t have the profits that they depend on from the spring and summer months.

·    The USDA reported that for the week ending Jan 12, for the first time ever, more pork was produced in the U.S. than beef; 500.8 M lbs compared to 488.0 M lbs.

Nexus eNote

Nexus eNote

 

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